Politics

Hillary Clinton’s California Primary hold diminishes to Bernie Sander

Hillary Clinton’s California Primary hold diminishes to Bernie Sander
Hillary Clinton's California Primary hold diminishes to Bernie Sander 2016 images

Article by: Palmer Gibbs

Hillary Clinton has always had to fight for things, and Bernie Sanders is making sure that she fights even harder for the 2016 Presidential Democratic nomination. With the California Primary coming up, Clinton has seen her numbers continue to diminish even after her Puerto Rico win. Sander has proven much harder to get rid of than the former Secretary of State thought. Hillary Clinton, who was up by 8.7 percent as recently as May 30, has seen her lead in California dwindle to just two points as of June 4.

As the presidential primary season lurches toward the finish line, the Democratic race will culminate in a down-to-the-wire contest in California between Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. Clinton, who was up by 8.7 percent as recently as May 30, has seen her lead in the Golden State dwindle to just two points as of June 4, according to polling averages from RealClearPolitics.

Clinton is at 47.7 percent to Sanders’ 45.7 percent, as the below Inside Gov visualization shows. Toward the end of April, the gap narrowed for the first time after Sanders logged a string of victories, including big wins at the Washington caucus and the Wisconsin primary. But momentum swung back in Clinton’s favor after she nabbed wins in delegate-rich states likeNew York and Pennsylvania. Her lead bounced back to 9.7 percent in mid-May.

 

Clinton’s poll numbers went up when it looked as though she was tying up the nomination. Indeed, during an interview with CNN on May 19, she said she would be the Democratic nominee and “that is already done, in effect.”

But Sanders has been all but camped out in California in the last few weeks, hanging his campaign’s hopes on a strong showing during the state’s June 7 primary. If Sanders pulls off an upset or even keeps the results close, he will get a huge jolt of momentum — and a boost to the argument that his candidacy remains viable despite Clinton’s overall delegate lead.

clinton vs benie on issues 2016

While the two-point margin accounts for polling averages, one specific poll breaks out how each candidate is slated to do among certain populations. As has been the case throughout the primaries, Clinton looks to lean on her support among minorities during the California vote. She holds a 39-point lead among black voters, a 21-point lead among Asian voters and a six-point lead among Hispanic voters, according to data from a recent Survey USA poll.

 

It’s interesting to note that Clinton also does well among California’s white voters, who give her a 23-point advantage over Sanders. The Vermont senator has enjoyed strong support among white voters throughout the primaries, making Clinton’s lead in California a noteworthy shakeup.

 

Sanders continues to hold an advantage over younger voters, who in California give him a five-point lead over Clinton. The same poll also shows that first-time voters overwhelmingly prefer Sanders to Clinton, 67 to 31 percent. But, as the above visualization shows, Clinton holds double-digit leads among voters 35 and older.

While many of these specific data points indicate a path to victory for Clinton in the California primary, the Sanders camp is touting those topline numbers — boosted by recent polls fromNBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist and YouGov/CBS News — that show he’s just two points behind.

In fact, Sanders has spent the last few weeks arguing the nomination isn’t official until the party convention on July 25. On Saturday, Sanders said the Democratic convention in Philadelphia would be “contested” because neither he nor Clinton would have the required number of pledged delegates at the end of the primary process. It’s a rather remarkable shift from the beginning of the presidential race when the Democratic contest looked demure compared to the schoolyard fights on the Republican side.

According to the latest counts, Clinton has 1,809 pledged delegates to Sanders’ 1,520 delegates. The gap widens significantly when accounting for superdelegates. Clinton has 2,357 total delegates to Sanders’ 1,566.

Politics
@movietvtechgeek

Movie TV Tech Geeks News staff edited stories and team contributions.

More in Politics

kellyanne conway loves alternate facts as much as donald trump 2017 images

Kellyanne Conway loves alternate facts as much as Donald Trump

MTTG StaffFebruary 23, 2017
Michael Moore wants to discombobulate Donald Trump 2017 images

Michael Moore wants to “discombobulate” Donald Trump

Shane LambertFebruary 23, 2017
Donald Trump, Jeff Session pull federal protections for transgender students

Donald Trump, Jeff Sessions pull federal protections for transgender students

Shanka CherylFebruary 23, 2017
adele and beyonce show how women should support each other 2017 images

Adele, Beyonce show how women should support each other

The Curvy Girl DivaFebruary 22, 2017
just how did donald trump spend his first month in office 2017 images

Just how did Donald Trump spend his first month in office?

Curt JohnsonFebruary 22, 2017
donald trumps answers keep adding more questions about russian ties 2017 images

Donald Trump’s answers only add more questions with Russian ties

Curt JohnsonFebruary 21, 2017
the frightening brilliance behind donald trumps media attacks 2017 images

The frightening brilliance behind Donald Trump’s media attacks

Curt JohnsonFebruary 20, 2017
donald trumps 30 years with russia 2017 images

Donald Trump’s 30 years with Russia history

MTTG StaffFebruary 19, 2017
donald trump gets his ego infusion with florida rally transcript 2017 images

Donald Trump gets his ego infusion with Florida rally transcript

Curt JohnsonFebruary 19, 2017

Subscribe to our Daily Newsletter

You will only receive one per day. You'll also get a free THE WALKING DEAD graphic novel with your subscription